Author: Lee, Hyunsun
Title: Stochastic and spatio-temporal analysis of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome outbreak in South Korea, 2015 Document date: 2019_6_14
ID: 6cyhjt10_8
Snippet: The characteristics of the MERS outbreak in South Korea are that one index case who traveled to middle eastern countries introduced the disease to the population of South Korea, and the pattern of transmission is limited to inter-hospital or intrahospital infection, except one possible case of household transmission. The size of the outbreak is much smaller than the size of the whole population in South Korea. It enables us to investigate the det.....
Document: The characteristics of the MERS outbreak in South Korea are that one index case who traveled to middle eastern countries introduced the disease to the population of South Korea, and the pattern of transmission is limited to inter-hospital or intrahospital infection, except one possible case of household transmission. The size of the outbreak is much smaller than the size of the whole population in South Korea. It enables us to investigate the detailed transmission dynamics of the infectious disease. This paper is designed to make a situational assessment on the outbreak of MERS in South Korea based on the basic reproductive ratio and the probability of ultimate extinction. Furthermore, spatio-temporal proximity of the occurrence between patients is investigated using an autocorrelation function.
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