Author: Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Gimma, Amy; Bosse, Nikos I; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Munday, James D; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M
Title: Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts Document date: 2020_2_28
ID: ueb7mjnv_35
Snippet: The model could be modified to include some transmission after isolation (such as in hospitals), which would decrease the probability of achieving control. In addition, we defined an outbreak as controlled if it reached extinction by 3 months, regardless of outbreak size or number of weekly cases. This definition might be narrowed where the goal is to keep the overall caseload of the outbreak low. This might be of concern to local authorities for.....
Document: The model could be modified to include some transmission after isolation (such as in hospitals), which would decrease the probability of achieving control. In addition, we defined an outbreak as controlled if it reached extinction by 3 months, regardless of outbreak size or number of weekly cases. This definition might be narrowed where the goal is to keep the overall caseload of the outbreak low. This might be of concern to local authorities for reducing the health-care surges, and might limit geographical spread.
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