Selected article for: "basic reproduction number and fit model"
Author: Ebrahim Sahafizadeh; Samaneh Sartoli
Title: Estimating the reproduction number of COVID-19 in Iran using epidemic modeling
  • Document date: 2020_3_23
    • ID: f3ikyl9d_18
    Snippet: The Runge-Kutta method is used to resolve the SIR model's ODEs to fit model on reported data. Numerical simulation is conducted in MATLAB and we tune the parameters β and γ to have the best fit plot on reported data plot. We then estimate the basic reproduction number by dividing ߚ on ߛ . The SIR model fitting results are shown in Fig. 1 Through Fig. 4 . The red and green plots are model plots and the blue and pink plots are reported data pl.....
    Document: The Runge-Kutta method is used to resolve the SIR model's ODEs to fit model on reported data. Numerical simulation is conducted in MATLAB and we tune the parameters β and γ to have the best fit plot on reported data plot. We then estimate the basic reproduction number by dividing ߚ on ߛ . The SIR model fitting results are shown in Fig. 1 Through Fig. 4 . The red and green plots are model plots and the blue and pink plots are reported data plots. As shown in Fig. 1 for the 13 th day to 16 th day of outbreak. Fig. 4 shows that reproduction number significantly decreased to 2.1 between March 6, 2020 to March 18, 2020, which is the consequent of self-quarantining and reducing working time by government.

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