Author: Chaolong Wang; Li Liu; Xingjie Hao; Huan Guo; Qi Wang; Jiao Huang; Na He; Hongjie Yu; Xihong Lin; An Pan; Sheng Wei; Tangchun Wu
Title: Evolving Epidemiology and Impact of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions on the Outbreak of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Wuhan, China Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: 944pn0k9_31
Snippet: We performed a series of sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of our results by considering the outlier data point on February 1, and varying incubation and infectious periods, transmission ratio between unascertained and ascertained cases, and initial values of the model (Fig. S4-S12, Tables S2-S4 ). Our major findings of remarkable decrease in R t in response to interventions and the existence of a large proportion of unascertained cases.....
Document: We performed a series of sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of our results by considering the outlier data point on February 1, and varying incubation and infectious periods, transmission ratio between unascertained and ascertained cases, and initial values of the model (Fig. S4-S12, Tables S2-S4 ). Our major findings of remarkable decrease in R t in response to interventions and the existence of a large proportion of unascertained cases remained in all sensitivity analyses. In particular, we noticed that the estimated ascertainment rates increased with decreasing initial number of unascertained cases (Fig. S9-S11, Table S2 ). If we assumed an extreme . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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