Author: Charit S Narayanan
Title: A novel cohort analysis approach to determining the case fatality rate of COVID-19 and other infectious diseases Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: bj0pmg6j_19
Snippet: Finally, we build an objective function that minimizes the root mean square error 108 between the actual and predicted values of cumulative deaths and run multiple 109 simulations by altering the three parameters. Using all of these values, we find out 110 which set of parameters returns the lowest error when compared to the number of actual 111 deaths. Using this methodology, we determine the probable range of case fatality rates. 112.....
Document: Finally, we build an objective function that minimizes the root mean square error 108 between the actual and predicted values of cumulative deaths and run multiple 109 simulations by altering the three parameters. Using all of these values, we find out 110 which set of parameters returns the lowest error when compared to the number of actual 111 deaths. Using this methodology, we determine the probable range of case fatality rates. 112
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