Author: Julien Riou; Chiara Poletto; Pierre-Yves Boëlle
Title: Improving early epidemiological assessment of emerging Aedes-transmitted epidemics using historical data Document date: 2018_4_16
ID: 7gh1yzaa_1
Snippet: accounting for spatial and population structure [19] . But in addition to specifying a model, selecting good parameter values is also essential to obtain good predictions. In models for directly transmitted diseases, this can come from realistic demographic and behavioral characteristics, for example the contact frequency between individuals [20] , mobility patterns [21, 22, 23, 24] , and from clinical and epidemiological characteristics like the.....
Document: accounting for spatial and population structure [19] . But in addition to specifying a model, selecting good parameter values is also essential to obtain good predictions. In models for directly transmitted diseases, this can come from realistic demographic and behavioral characteristics, for example the contact frequency between individuals [20] , mobility patterns [21, 22, 23, 24] , and from clinical and epidemiological characteristics like the duration of the serial interval [25] . Such information is less easily available and more limited for mosquito-transmitted diseases [26] . However, outbreaks of the same disease or diseases with similar routes of transmission may have occurred in the same or similar locations, so that relevant information may be recovered from the analysis of past outbreaks.
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