Lies, Gosh Darn Lies, and Not Enough Good Statistics: Why Epidemic Model Parameter Estimation Fails

Daniel E Platt; Laxmi E Parida; Pierre Zalloua

is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.20.20071928 doi: medRxiv preprint last eigenvalue is = −0.143, associated with the decay of from equilibrium values with eigenvector = ( 0 0 0 1 ). Figure 3 shows a log-linear plot of the rate-limiting variables for a numerical integration of the entire system of differential equations. The pre-peak segment shows a clear view of how the system is dominated by the leading exponential eigenmode of the growth, including the proportions between variables represented in the eigenvector of the leading eigenvalue, which determines the slope. . CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.