Selected article for: "case isolation and ICU case"
Author: Ashleigh Tuite; David N Fisman; Amy L Greer
Title: Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 transmission and mitigation strategies in the population of Ontario, Canada
  • Document date: 2020_3_26
    • ID: e4pr78n0_41
    Snippet: In summary, we have modelled plausible contours of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ontario, Canada, with a focus on maintenance of ICU resources. In the absence of significant social distancing or a combination of moderate social distancing with enhanced case detection and isolation, we project that ICU resources would be quickly overwhelmed, a conclusion consistent with that in other modeling work (12) , as well as current events in Italy and Spain. On.....
    Document: In summary, we have modelled plausible contours of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ontario, Canada, with a focus on maintenance of ICU resources. In the absence of significant social distancing or a combination of moderate social distancing with enhanced case detection and isolation, we project that ICU resources would be quickly overwhelmed, a conclusion consistent with that in other modeling work (12) , as well as current events in Italy and Spain. On a more positive note, we project that dynamic social distancing, that reacts to changes in ICU . CC-BY-NC 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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