Author: Nick Wilson; Amanda Kvalsvig; Lucy Telfar Barnard; Michael Baker
Title: Estimating the Case Fatality Risk of COVID-19 using Cases from Outside China Document date: 2020_2_18
ID: b4kzgubs_7
Snippet: We then applied the 34.1% value from the meta-analysis to the data in Table 1 , giving an estimated CFR of 1.37% ([14 x 34.1%]/349) for COVID-19. The 95% confidence interval (CI) of this estimate is 0.57% to 3.22%. This estimate can be considered a symptomatic CFR (sCFR) as it likely to be based on a denominator who had symptoms and were tested and laboratory-confirmed as cases. This estimate is almost invariably higher than the infectionfatality.....
Document: We then applied the 34.1% value from the meta-analysis to the data in Table 1 , giving an estimated CFR of 1.37% ([14 x 34.1%]/349) for COVID-19. The 95% confidence interval (CI) of this estimate is 0.57% to 3.22%. This estimate can be considered a symptomatic CFR (sCFR) as it likely to be based on a denominator who had symptoms and were tested and laboratory-confirmed as cases. This estimate is almost invariably higher than the infectionfatality risk (IFR) which can only be estimated when serological testing becomes available to identify all of those infected [15] .
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