Selected article for: "new case and reproduction number"
Author: Yi Zou; Stephen Pan; Peng Zhao; Lei Han; Xiaoxiang Wang; Johannes Knops; Wopke van der Werf; Lia Hemerik
Title: Outbreak analysis with a logistic growth model shows COVID-19 suppression dynamics in China
  • Document date: 2020_3_27
    • ID: b4zr1g04_2
    Snippet: (3) containment [3] . In suppression, strict measures are taken to reverse the epidemic spread, 52 essentially by bringing the effective reproduction number Re (the number of new cases per 53 existing case) below one [4, 5] . Social distancing is a key factor in suppression [6] . In 54 mitigation the aim is not to necessarily stop all transmission, but rather to reduce the rate of 55 transmission and in effect lower the number of infected people .....
    Document: (3) containment [3] . In suppression, strict measures are taken to reverse the epidemic spread, 52 essentially by bringing the effective reproduction number Re (the number of new cases per 53 existing case) below one [4, 5] . Social distancing is a key factor in suppression [6] . In 54 mitigation the aim is not to necessarily stop all transmission, but rather to reduce the rate of 55 transmission and in effect lower the number of infected people at any given time [3, 7] . It has 56 been suggested that mitigation strategies might prevent inundation of the health care system 57 by "flattening" the peak of sick people" [3] . However, even in the most optimistic scenarios 58 for mitigation, healthcare capacity is likely to be still seriously overwhelmed, as it was in 59

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