Author: Zian Zhuang; Shi Zhao; Qianying Lin; Peihua Cao; Yijun Lou; Lin Yang; Shu Yang; Daihai He; Li Xiao
Title: Preliminary estimating the reproduction number of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy by 5 March 2020 Document date: 2020_3_6
ID: etl9uwt7_18
Snippet: The ongoing COVID-19 outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy could be amplified due to large-scale gathering activities [12, 13] . Without public health control or selfprotective measures, the epidemic was likely to grow in a relatively large rate. The R0 estimates and the rapid growth of epidemic curves both indicates the disease transmissibility. Thus, control measures as well as self-administered protective actions are crucial to reduce the tr.....
Document: The ongoing COVID-19 outbreak in Republic of Korea and Italy could be amplified due to large-scale gathering activities [12, 13] . Without public health control or selfprotective measures, the epidemic was likely to grow in a relatively large rate. The R0 estimates and the rapid growth of epidemic curves both indicates the disease transmissibility. Thus, control measures as well as self-administered protective actions are crucial to reduce the transmissibility of COVID-19 and thus mitigate the outbreak size and prevent for further burden. Given the superspreading is unlikely to occur, we can be confident to control the COVID-19 outbreak by reducing the reproduction number to below unity. . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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