Author: Lux, Thomas
Title: The social dynamics of COVID-19() Cord-id: w2lyv1z5 Document date: 2021_4_1
ID: w2lyv1z5
Snippet: We add a simple dynamic process for adaptive “social distancing†measures to a standard SIR model of the COVID pandemic. With a limited attention span and in the absence of a consistent long-term strategy against the pandemic, this process leads to a sweeping of an instability, i.e. fluctuations in the effective reproduction number around its bifurcation value of [Formula: see text]. While mitigating the pandemic in the short-run, this process remains intrinsically fragile and does not const
Document: We add a simple dynamic process for adaptive “social distancing†measures to a standard SIR model of the COVID pandemic. With a limited attention span and in the absence of a consistent long-term strategy against the pandemic, this process leads to a sweeping of an instability, i.e. fluctuations in the effective reproduction number around its bifurcation value of [Formula: see text]. While mitigating the pandemic in the short-run, this process remains intrinsically fragile and does not constitute a sustainable strategy that societies could follow for an extended period of time.
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