Selected article for: "forward generation time and generation time"
Author: Andrea Torneri; Amin Azmon; Christel Faes; Eben Kenah; Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba; Jacco Wallinga; Niel Hens
Title: Realized generation times: contraction and impact of infectious period, reproduction number and population size
  • Document date: 2019_3_8
    • ID: ag9mzwkx_1
    Snippet: parameters is critical for public health decision-makers in order to take appropriate actions for the global prevention and management of outbreaks and other health emergencies. A key example is given by the prediction models of the reproduction numbers: these rely on the generation time distribution that is usually estimated from contact tracing data collected at a precise calendar time. The forward scheme is used in such a prediction model and .....
    Document: parameters is critical for public health decision-makers in order to take appropriate actions for the global prevention and management of outbreaks and other health emergencies. A key example is given by the prediction models of the reproduction numbers: these rely on the generation time distribution that is usually estimated from contact tracing data collected at a precise calendar time. The forward scheme is used in such a prediction model and the knowledge of its evolution over time is crucial to correctly estimate the parameters of interest. It is therefore important to characterize the causes that lead to the contraction of the mean forward generation time during the course of an outbreak.

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