Selected article for: "high population and infection rate"
Author: Kathleen M O’Reilly; Rachel Lowe; W John Edmunds; Philippe Mayaud; Adam Kucharski; Rosalind M Eggo; Sebastian Funk; Deepit Bhatia; Kamran Khan; Moritz U Kraemar; Annelies Wilder-Smith; Laura C Rodrigues; Patricia Brasil; Eduardo Massad; Thomas Jaenisch; Simon Cauchemez; Oliver J Brady; Laith Yakob
Title: Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis
  • Document date: 2018_5_18
    • ID: 58y8mg8m_28
    Snippet: ZIKV has spread widely across LAC, affecting all cities during 2015-2017 leading to high population immunity against further infection, thereby limiting capacity for sustained ZIKV transmission. The seasonality in ZIKV transmission affected the rate of infection, but due to high connectivity between cities this had little impact on the eventual depletion of susceptible populations. Looking forward, incidence is expected to be low in 2018. This pr.....
    Document: ZIKV has spread widely across LAC, affecting all cities during 2015-2017 leading to high population immunity against further infection, thereby limiting capacity for sustained ZIKV transmission. The seasonality in ZIKV transmission affected the rate of infection, but due to high connectivity between cities this had little impact on the eventual depletion of susceptible populations. Looking forward, incidence is expected to be low in 2018. This provides optimistic information for affected communities, but limits our ability to use prospective studies to better characterise the epidemiology of ZIKV. The continental-wide analysis illustrates much commonality between settings, such as the relative annual incidence, and the connectivity across LAC, but questions remain regarding the interpretation of the varied data for ZIKV.

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