Selected article for: "average number and secondary case"

Author: Christopher I Jarvis; Kevin Van Zandvoort; Amy Gimma; Kiesha Prem; Petra Klepac; G James Rubin; W John Edmunds
Title: Quantifying the impact of physical distance measures on the transmission of COVID-19 in the UK
  • Document date: 2020_4_3
  • ID: 8do4tojk_12
    Snippet: Physical distancing interventions attempt to reduce contacts relevant to infectious disease spread between individuals. Multiple surveys have been instigated on the uptake of different physical distancing measures during this current pandemic, but these have not explicitly measured contacts between people [5] [6] [7] . To make accurate predictions on the impact of these measures, quantitative data on relevant contact patterns is required [8] [9] .....
    Document: Physical distancing interventions attempt to reduce contacts relevant to infectious disease spread between individuals. Multiple surveys have been instigated on the uptake of different physical distancing measures during this current pandemic, but these have not explicitly measured contacts between people [5] [6] [7] . To make accurate predictions on the impact of these measures, quantitative data on relevant contact patterns is required [8] [9] [10] [11] . Only one previous survey-conducted in two Chinese cities, Wuhan and Shanghai, in February 2020-quantified the impact of these measures on individuals' contact patterns during the COVID-19 pandemic 12 . In this paper, we describe a survey of contact patterns and compliance with physical distance measures and present results from a sample of adults in the UK. We evaluate whether these measures might be sufficient to control the epidemic by estimating their impact on the reproduction number (the average number of secondary cases generated per case).

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