Author: Houssein H. Ayoub; Hiam Chemaitelly; Shaheen Seedat; Ghina R. Mumtaz; Monia Makhoul; Laith J Abu-Raddad
Title: Age could be driving variable SARS-CoV-2 epidemic trajectories worldwide Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: 9huyb4cs_10
Snippet: Ranges of uncertainty around model-predicted outcomes were determined using five-hundred simulation runs that applied Latin Hypercube sampling [19, 20] from a multidimensional distribution of the model parameters. At each run, input parameter values were selected from ranges specified by assuming ±30% uncertainty around parameters' point estimates. The resulting distribution for each model-predicted outcome was then used to derive the most proba.....
Document: Ranges of uncertainty around model-predicted outcomes were determined using five-hundred simulation runs that applied Latin Hypercube sampling [19, 20] from a multidimensional distribution of the model parameters. At each run, input parameter values were selected from ranges specified by assuming ±30% uncertainty around parameters' point estimates. The resulting distribution for each model-predicted outcome was then used to derive the most probable estimate and 95% uncertainty interval (UI). Mathematical modelling analyses were performed in MATLAB R2019a [21] , while statistical analyses were performed in STATA/SE 16.1 [22] .
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