Author: M. Pear Hossain; Alvin Junus; Xiaolin Zhu; Pengfei Jia; Tzai-Hung Wen; Dirk Pfeiffer; Hsiang-Yu Yuan
Title: The effects of border control and quarantine measures on global spread of COVID-19 Document date: 2020_3_17
ID: lwe7whmg_24
Snippet: Determining outbreak potential 143 Next we considered the outbreak potential, defined as the probability of outbreak emergence given the number 144 of cumulative cases. At the initial stage, if there were n infected individuals, the chance of the viruses to cause 145 an outbreak is p j,n = 1 − 1 R n j ini [17] . We determined a critical threshold number ν to be 8 and set p j,ν = 50% 146 8 . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made ava.....
Document: Determining outbreak potential 143 Next we considered the outbreak potential, defined as the probability of outbreak emergence given the number 144 of cumulative cases. At the initial stage, if there were n infected individuals, the chance of the viruses to cause 145 an outbreak is p j,n = 1 − 1 R n j ini [17] . We determined a critical threshold number ν to be 8 and set p j,ν = 50% 146 8 . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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