Author: Martin Spousta
Title: Parametric analysis of early data on COVID-19 expansion in selected European countries Document date: 2020_4_3
ID: 3b6n8un0_23
Snippet: The results of the predictions using Equations (8)-(10) are shown in Figure 3 for countries with constant parameters of the fit which is Italy and France, and for Czechia which seems to be converging to a constant value of parameters as well. We do not attempt to introduce systematic uncertainties on the predictions at this point. Instead, we use evaluation of the distribution using two methods: using fits in time windows of seven days and the fi.....
Document: The results of the predictions using Equations (8)-(10) are shown in Figure 3 for countries with constant parameters of the fit which is Italy and France, and for Czechia which seems to be converging to a constant value of parameters as well. We do not attempt to introduce systematic uncertainties on the predictions at this point. Instead, we use evaluation of the distribution using two methods: using fits in time windows of seven days and the fits over the full distribution. As already mentioned before, the later method brings results less susceptible to fluctuations.
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