Author: Robert L Shuler
Title: Partial unlock model for COVID-19 or similar pandemic averts medical and economic disaster Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: lmmrnitr_5
Snippet: In fighting a disease with public policy that relies on compliance, it is important to avoid the 29 following sort of dilemma. Suppose we posit two policy choices, lockdown and unlock. Suppose the 30 implementation of a policy has two parts: a planned scientific and administrative decision, and the 31 public compliance with that decision. Suppose either one of those parts amounts to "If the disease is 32 spreading and there is horror in the hospi.....
Document: In fighting a disease with public policy that relies on compliance, it is important to avoid the 29 following sort of dilemma. Suppose we posit two policy choices, lockdown and unlock. Suppose the 30 implementation of a policy has two parts: a planned scientific and administrative decision, and the 31 public compliance with that decision. Suppose either one of those parts amounts to "If the disease is 32 spreading and there is horror in the hospitals, lockdown, otherwise unlock." Then lockdown reduces 33 spread and produces a sense of relief, which results in unlock, which in turn restores the pandemic. A 34
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