Author: Penafiel, M. L.; Ram'irez-'Avila, G. M.
Title: Epidemiological projections for COVID-19 considering lockdown policies and social behavior: the case of Bolivia Cord-id: 7pta3dwz Document date: 2020_8_11
ID: 7pta3dwz
Snippet: We assess the epidemic situation caused by SARS-CoV-2 using Tsallis' proposal for determining the occurrence of the peak, and also the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Asymptomatic-Symptomatic and Dead (\textbf{SIRASD}) compartmental model. Using these two models, we determine a range of probable peak dates and study several social distancing scenarios during the epidemic. Due to the socioeconomic situation and the conflictive political climate, we take for our study the case of Bolivia, where a n
Document: We assess the epidemic situation caused by SARS-CoV-2 using Tsallis' proposal for determining the occurrence of the peak, and also the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Asymptomatic-Symptomatic and Dead (\textbf{SIRASD}) compartmental model. Using these two models, we determine a range of probable peak dates and study several social distancing scenarios during the epidemic. Due to the socioeconomic situation and the conflictive political climate, we take for our study the case of Bolivia, where a national election was originally scheduled to occur on September 6th and recently rescheduled on October 18th. For this, we analyze both electoral scenarios and show that such an event can largely affect the epidemic's dynamics.
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