Selected article for: "China report and time period"
Author: Robert Verity; Lucy C Okell; Ilaria Dorigatti; Peter Winskill; Charles Whittaker; Natsuko Imai; Gina Cuomo-Dannenburg; Hayley Thompson; Patrick Walker; Han Fu; Amy Dighe; Jamie Griffin; Anne Cori; Marc Baguelin; Sangeeta Bhatia; Adhiratha Boonyasiri; Zulma M Cucunuba; Rich Fitzjohn; Katy A M Gaythorpe; Will Green; Arran Hamlet; Wes Hinsley; Daniel Laydon; Gemma Nedjati-Gilani; Steven Riley; Sabine van-Elsand; Erik Volz; Haowei Wang; Yuanrong Wang; Xiayoue Xi; Christl Donnelly; Azra Ghani; Neil Ferguson
Title: Estimates of the severity of COVID-19 disease
  • Document date: 2020_3_13
    • ID: 10n2u1b1_71
    Snippet: Epidemic curves from Figure 2 of the recent Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) (ref) were digitised and relevant data extracted using the openly available software DataThiefTM: incidence by symptom onset for the period spanning 8th December until 11th February were collated separately for Wuhan and the rest of China. Information on the agedistribution of cases and deaths over the same time period was also.....
    Document: Epidemic curves from Figure 2 of the recent Report of the WHO-China Joint Mission on Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) (ref) were digitised and relevant data extracted using the openly available software DataThiefTM: incidence by symptom onset for the period spanning 8th December until 11th February were collated separately for Wuhan and the rest of China. Information on the agedistribution of cases and deaths over the same time period was also extracted from the recent China CDC Weekly Paper (ref) -whilst the deaths were not stratified by location (Wuhan/rest of China), information scraped by volunteers at Imperial College from Chinese provincial Health Commission Reports enabled estimation of the proportion of deaths in China over that time period that had occurred in Wuhan. The observed cases across both locations were then scaled using a number of different adjustments to account for potential underreporting (detailed below). Throughout, we assume all deaths are completely ascertained (i.e. no missed deaths) after the 21 st January, and that no detected deaths occurred before that date.

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