Author: Claudia Rivera-Rodriguez; Beatriz Piedad Urdinola
Title: Modelling strategies to predict hospital demand during the COVID-19 outbreak in Bogotá, Colombia Document date: 2020_4_18
ID: 6qfryfnt_18
Snippet: To model the impact of inter-100 ventions introduced by the government, we allow the transmission rate to be a step-wise function β(t), with 3 steps at t 0 , t 1 and t 2 . The time t 0 (2020-03-06) corresponds to the case when no actions have been taken, t 1 (2020-03-29) is 10 days after the national lock-down was introduced and t 2 (2020-04-10) is the date when the lock-down measures are eased but other strategies such as social dis-105 tance a.....
Document: To model the impact of inter-100 ventions introduced by the government, we allow the transmission rate to be a step-wise function β(t), with 3 steps at t 0 , t 1 and t 2 . The time t 0 (2020-03-06) corresponds to the case when no actions have been taken, t 1 (2020-03-29) is 10 days after the national lock-down was introduced and t 2 (2020-04-10) is the date when the lock-down measures are eased but other strategies such as social dis-105 tance are implemented. We estimate β(t 0 ) from the basic reproduction number
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