Author: Zhenguo Wu
Title: Application of COVID-19 pneumonia diffusion data to predict epidemic situation Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: fizhdrgu_43
Snippet: When the diffusion ratio R < 1, the number of new population will fluctuate and decrease, and the estimated value of total number of epidemic infections will tend to be stable, reflecting that the epidemic situation has been temporarily controlled. R < 1 is a necessary and sufficient factor for the convergence of the estimated curve of total number of infectious diseases, and it is also an important sign for the epidemic from outbreak to control......
Document: When the diffusion ratio R < 1, the number of new population will fluctuate and decrease, and the estimated value of total number of epidemic infections will tend to be stable, reflecting that the epidemic situation has been temporarily controlled. R < 1 is a necessary and sufficient factor for the convergence of the estimated curve of total number of infectious diseases, and it is also an important sign for the epidemic from outbreak to control. The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the . https://doi.org/10. 1101 /2020 The estimated curve of total number of epidemic infections rose sharply, which was the initial stage of the outbreak.
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