Author: Liu, Wendi; Tang, Sanyi; Xiao, Yanni
Title: Model Selection and Evaluation Based on Emerging Infectious Disease Data Sets including A/H1N1 and Ebola Document date: 2015_9_15
ID: 0j4is0n4_8
Snippet: As mentioned in Section 1, the main purpose is to choose the best model from the several single species growth models, which will help us to evaluate the characteristics of emerging infectious diseases including A/H1N1 and Ebola. In particular, the basic reproduction number, turning point, and final size are the most important quantities describing the emerging infectious diseases. Thus, we first estimate the parameter values for each model candi.....
Document: As mentioned in Section 1, the main purpose is to choose the best model from the several single species growth models, which will help us to evaluate the characteristics of emerging infectious diseases including A/H1N1 and Ebola. In particular, the basic reproduction number, turning point, and final size are the most important quantities describing the emerging infectious diseases. Thus, we first estimate the parameter values for each model candidate based on the data sets and then determine the best fitted model to calculate the basic reproduction number 0 for A/H1N1 in China and Ebola in different regions of West Africa. The basic reproduction number 0 can be obtained from the formula 0 = exp( ) [3, 4] , where denotes the intrinsic growth rate and is the generation time of disease transmission.
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