Author: Lorenzo Pellis; Francesca Scarabel; Helena B Stage; Christopher E Overton; Lauren H K Chappell; Katrina A Lythgoe; Elizabeth Fearon; Emma Bennett; Jacob Curran-Sebastian; Rajenki Das; Martyn Fyles; Hugo Lewkowicz; Xiaoxi Pang; Bindu Vekaria; Luke Webb; Thomas A House; Ian Hall
Title: Challenges in control of Covid-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions Document date: 2020_4_15
ID: k5q07y4b_18
Snippet: Since R 0 remains the mainstay of most epidemiological analyses, we explored values of R 0 consistent with a range of growth rates and modelling assumptions. For a growth rate of 0.25/ day and our delay estimates (Table 1) , we obtain values ranging from 2 to 4 or larger (Table S1A) , owing to the extreme sensitivity to assumptions, in particular the extent of presymptomatic transmission, for which estimates in the literature vary widely [34] [3.....
Document: Since R 0 remains the mainstay of most epidemiological analyses, we explored values of R 0 consistent with a range of growth rates and modelling assumptions. For a growth rate of 0.25/ day and our delay estimates (Table 1) , we obtain values ranging from 2 to 4 or larger (Table S1A) , owing to the extreme sensitivity to assumptions, in particular the extent of presymptomatic transmission, for which estimates in the literature vary widely [34] [35] [36] [37] .
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