Author: Rocklöv, J; Sjödin, H; Wilder-Smith, A
Title: COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures Document date: 2020_2_28
ID: 7hkowm2y_18
Snippet: The quarantine and removal interventions launched when the outbreak was confirmed (3 rd February and 5 th of February) substantially lowered the contact rate and reduced the cumulative case burden by an estimated 2307 cases by 19 th February. We note, however, that the longer time span of simulation beyond 19 th February, assuming people would stay on the boat, would reduce the net effect of the intervention substantially. We further note that an.....
Document: The quarantine and removal interventions launched when the outbreak was confirmed (3 rd February and 5 th of February) substantially lowered the contact rate and reduced the cumulative case burden by an estimated 2307 cases by 19 th February. We note, however, that the longer time span of simulation beyond 19 th February, assuming people would stay on the boat, would reduce the net effect of the intervention substantially. We further note that an earlier evacuation would have corresponded to disembarking a substantially lower number of latent undetectable infections (76 vs. 246), likely giving rise to some further transmission outside the ship.
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