Author: Rocklöv, J; Sjödin, H; Wilder-Smith, A
Title: COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures Document date: 2020_2_28
ID: 7hkowm2y_21
Snippet: Furthermore, although the Hong Kong passenger was assumed to be the index case, it could well have been possible that there was more than one index case on board who could have contributed to transmission, and this would have lowered our estimated R0. Lastly, our models are based on human-to-human transmission and do not take into account the possibility that fomites, or water systems with infected feces, contributed to the outbreak. infected per.....
Document: Furthermore, although the Hong Kong passenger was assumed to be the index case, it could well have been possible that there was more than one index case on board who could have contributed to transmission, and this would have lowered our estimated R0. Lastly, our models are based on human-to-human transmission and do not take into account the possibility that fomites, or water systems with infected feces, contributed to the outbreak. infected persons during their incubation time. These data need to be confirmed by empiric data of testing all evacuated persons after 19 th February, and may be an overestimate as we assumed a stable after quarantine was instituted. However, the probably declined over time, as the implementation of quarantine measures were incrementally implemented leading to better quarantine standards towards the end of the quarantine period.
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