Author: Sylvain Mangiarotti; Marisa Peyre; Yan Zhang; Mireille Huc; Francois Roger; Yann Kerr
Title: Chaos theory applied to the outbreak of Covid-19: an ancillary approach to decision-making in pandemic context Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: gnk3m0b8_2
Snippet: Although being identified in the early stages of the epidemic as being close to two other coronaviruses (SARS and MERS) [2] , its epidemiological risks in terms of propagation and 5 lethality were not known. Investigations reported by the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC) demonstrated that a new coronavirus, now known as SARS-Cov-2, was at the origin of this epidemic [3] . The retrospective analysis of the earlier tran.....
Document: Although being identified in the early stages of the epidemic as being close to two other coronaviruses (SARS and MERS) [2] , its epidemiological risks in terms of propagation and 5 lethality were not known. Investigations reported by the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC) demonstrated that a new coronavirus, now known as SARS-Cov-2, was at the origin of this epidemic [3] . The retrospective analysis of the earlier transmission in Wuhan revealed that human-to-human transmission had occurred since the middle of December through close contacts [4] . After a very rapid dissemination in the Hubei province, the disease 10 has spread to all the other provinces in China. Currently, the epidemic seems to be getting under control thanks to strict control measures [5] . During its early spread in China, the virus also reached several countries in the world, in particular Japan where early measures enabled to control its spread relatively well [6] , although restarts cannot be excluded. More recently several important new clusters broke out in South Korea, Iran and Italy by the end of February. 15 Beginning of March most of Europe was affected, to be followed by the USA. Currently the epidemic is affecting the whole world [7] .
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