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Author: Jiawen Hou; Jie Hong; Boyun Ji; Bowen Dong; Yue Chen; Michael P Ward; Wei Tu; Zhen Jin; Jian Hu; Qing Su; Wenge Wang; Zheng Zhao; Shuang Xiao; Jiaqi Huang; Wei Lin; Zhijie Zhang
Title: Changing transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in China: a nationwide population-based piecewise mathematical modelling study
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
  • ID: kuf8p4e1_10
    Snippet: We established a continuous-time but piecewise Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) meta-population model to study the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. We considered transmission dynamics separately for each province. We modelled Wuhan city separately because of its heavy disease burden; other cities of Hubei province were modelled together. We divided the epidemic of COVID-19 into three developmental stages and the first two . CC-BY.....
    Document: We established a continuous-time but piecewise Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) meta-population model to study the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. We considered transmission dynamics separately for each province. We modelled Wuhan city separately because of its heavy disease burden; other cities of Hubei province were modelled together. We divided the epidemic of COVID-19 into three developmental stages and the first two . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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