Author: ISODA, Norikazu; ASANO, Akihiro; ICHIJO, Michiru; WAKAMORI, Shiho; OHNO, Hiroshi; SATO, Kazuhiko; OKAMOTO, Hirokazu; NAKAO, Shigeru; KATO, Hajime; SAITO, Kazuma; ITO, Naoki; USUI, Akira; TAKAYAMA, Hiroaki; SAKODA, Yoshihiro
Title: Evaluation of control measures for bovine viral diarrhea implemented in Nemuro District, Hokkaido, Japan, using a scenario tree model Document date: 2017_5_25
ID: 5qz12dcu_3
Snippet: As the ecology of BVDV in cattle is complicated and some of the interventions are only effective over specific limited conditions, there is no single effective intervention to control BVD that is commonly used worldwide. A scenario tree model is a useful risk assessment model to conduct quantitative assessment so as to identify an effective control measure or a combination of measures that could be used concurrently or in rotation. A scenario tre.....
Document: As the ecology of BVDV in cattle is complicated and some of the interventions are only effective over specific limited conditions, there is no single effective intervention to control BVD that is commonly used worldwide. A scenario tree model is a useful risk assessment model to conduct quantitative assessment so as to identify an effective control measure or a combination of measures that could be used concurrently or in rotation. A scenario tree model of the surveillance program was developed to estimate the probability of freedom from BVDV infection in Norway, with the model results validated by the surveillance program undertaken with a high probability of disease freedom [28] . Another scenario tree model was developed to estimate the probability of the introduction of BVDV to Danish dairy herds by import or transfer or to identify effective interventions to minimize the risk of BVD introduction [14] .
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