Selected article for: "BVD control and scenario tree"
Author: ISODA, Norikazu; ASANO, Akihiro; ICHIJO, Michiru; OHNO, Hiroshi; SATO, Kazuhiko; OKAMOTO, Hirokazu; NAKAO, Shigeru; KATO, Hajime; SAITO, Kazuma; ITO, Naoki; USUI, Akira; TAKAYAMA, Hiroaki; SAKODA, Yoshihiro
Title: Assessment of the cost effectiveness of compulsory testing of introduced animals and bulk tank milk testing for bovine viral diarrhea in Japan
  • Document date: 2019_3_1
    • ID: 3ivoabj1_12
    Snippet: The overall probabilities of detected and missed cattle persistently or transiently infected with BVDV (BVD cattle) through the detection sequence set as interventions for BVD control in a default or scenario settings were calculated as a product of the probabilities of infection and all conditional probabilities describing the nodes of each specific detection pathway. The total number of detected and missed BVD cattle as well as the total cost w.....
    Document: The overall probabilities of detected and missed cattle persistently or transiently infected with BVDV (BVD cattle) through the detection sequence set as interventions for BVD control in a default or scenario settings were calculated as a product of the probabilities of infection and all conditional probabilities describing the nodes of each specific detection pathway. The total number of detected and missed BVD cattle as well as the total cost were calculated as outputs of the default or scenarios and were compared to evaluate the efficacy of the measures in each scenario. The scenario tree was developed in an Microsoft Excel (Microsoft, Redmond, WA, U.S.A.) using the software @Risk 6 (Palisade Corp., Newfield, NY, U.S.A.) and was run using 10,000 iterations.

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