Author: Luis Santamaria; Joaquin Hortal
Title: Chasing the ghost of infection past: identifying thresholds of change during the COVID-19 infection in Spain Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: 8niqpwvc_20
Snippet: For the whole of Spain, the model with two breaking points (Model 3) provided the best fit (Table 1) . Fitted breaking points were placed on day 17.9 (14/3/20, estimated infection on 4/3/20) and 30.5 (26/3/20, estimated infection on 16/03/20) (Figure 1 ). The growth rate of the number of cases decreased by 49% (from 0.15 to 0.08) after the first breakpoint (14/3/20) and decreased again by another 54% (from 0.08 to 0.03) after the second breakpoin.....
Document: For the whole of Spain, the model with two breaking points (Model 3) provided the best fit (Table 1) . Fitted breaking points were placed on day 17.9 (14/3/20, estimated infection on 4/3/20) and 30.5 (26/3/20, estimated infection on 16/03/20) (Figure 1 ). The growth rate of the number of cases decreased by 49% (from 0.15 to 0.08) after the first breakpoint (14/3/20) and decreased again by another 54% (from 0.08 to 0.03) after the second breakpoint (26/3/20). is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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