Selected article for: "scenario tree and tree model"
Author: ISODA, Norikazu; ASANO, Akihiro; ICHIJO, Michiru; WAKAMORI, Shiho; OHNO, Hiroshi; SATO, Kazuhiko; OKAMOTO, Hirokazu; NAKAO, Shigeru; KATO, Hajime; SAITO, Kazuma; ITO, Naoki; USUI, Akira; TAKAYAMA, Hiroaki; SAKODA, Yoshihiro
Title: Evaluation of control measures for bovine viral diarrhea implemented in Nemuro District, Hokkaido, Japan, using a scenario tree model
  • Document date: 2017_5_25
    • ID: 5qz12dcu_37
    Snippet: We developed a stochastic scenario tree model to evaluate the control measures of BVD using the field data in Nemuro, Hokkaido. Although most of the data were referred from the scientific literature or used the field data in Nemuro, some of the parameters in the present model were set according to the opinions of veterinarians in there. In order to confirm the confidence of the developed scenario tree model, the outputs of the model using the act.....
    Document: We developed a stochastic scenario tree model to evaluate the control measures of BVD using the field data in Nemuro, Hokkaido. Although most of the data were referred from the scientific literature or used the field data in Nemuro, some of the parameters in the present model were set according to the opinions of veterinarians in there. In order to confirm the confidence of the developed scenario tree model, the outputs of the model using the actual numbers of cattle, virus prevalence estimated in Saino et al., and probability of using communal summer pastures, were compared with the numbers of reported cases of BVD in the last 5 years [29] . The results of model validation could support that the developed model would be reflecting the real situation with high confidence (Data not shown).

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