Author: Meng Wang; Jingtao Qi
Title: A deterministic epidemic model for the emergence of COVID-19 in China Document date: 2020_3_10
ID: 6tnkz6hh_1
Snippet: exponential before the time and softened afterwards. A similarity is also observed on the curve of cumulative removed cases (recoveries plus deaths), with delay of a few days. The change indicates the control measures have taken in effect. How to evaluate the effect quantitatively, and in particular, to predict the evolution of the disease would be highly desired. Figure 1 : Epidemic curves of reported COVID-19 cases on the Chinese mainland since.....
Document: exponential before the time and softened afterwards. A similarity is also observed on the curve of cumulative removed cases (recoveries plus deaths), with delay of a few days. The change indicates the control measures have taken in effect. How to evaluate the effect quantitatively, and in particular, to predict the evolution of the disease would be highly desired. Figure 1 : Epidemic curves of reported COVID-19 cases on the Chinese mainland since 20 January 2020. Data are collected from the official web pages of the National Health Commission of the People's Republic of China [3] and cross-checked with reports on the official web pages of the Health Commission of Hubei Province [4] . In the legend, HB stands for Hubei province, and I and R represent two categories to be fitted with an mathematical model.
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