Author: Klotz, Lynn C.
Title: Danger of Potential-Pandemic-Pathogen Research Enterprises Document date: 2015_6_16
ID: 72i1x02f_9
Snippet: Derivations of equations 1 and 2 may be found in the Appendix. In equation 2, probability E may be viewed as how much escape risk we are willing to tolerate, that is, the value of E that is too high a risk for an n-lab y-year research enterprise. Is an E of 0.1%, 1%, or 10% too high? The level of risk that we are willing to tolerate is subjective. Since a lab escape may result in an uncontrollable disease outbreak with thousands to millions of de.....
Document: Derivations of equations 1 and 2 may be found in the Appendix. In equation 2, probability E may be viewed as how much escape risk we are willing to tolerate, that is, the value of E that is too high a risk for an n-lab y-year research enterprise. Is an E of 0.1%, 1%, or 10% too high? The level of risk that we are willing to tolerate is subjective. Since a lab escape may result in an uncontrollable disease outbreak with thousands to millions of deaths, even a 1% chance, E Ï 0.01, seems much too high.
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