Author: Lee, Hyunsun
Title: Stochastic and spatio-temporal analysis of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome outbreak in South Korea, 2015 Document date: 2019_6_14
ID: 6cyhjt10_13
Snippet: The basic reproductive ratio is important since a disease outbreak is classified as a minor outbreak or a major outbreak depending on this number. A minor outbreak ultimately extinguishes itself with the probability of 1 when R 1, while a major outbreak defines itself by the boundless spread of the disease with a positive probability when R > 1. There are more than one possible interpretations for the definition of the basic reproductive rate (R).....
Document: The basic reproductive ratio is important since a disease outbreak is classified as a minor outbreak or a major outbreak depending on this number. A minor outbreak ultimately extinguishes itself with the probability of 1 when R 1, while a major outbreak defines itself by the boundless spread of the disease with a positive probability when R > 1. There are more than one possible interpretations for the definition of the basic reproductive rate (R). We adopt the survival function method that is introduced in (Heesterbeek & Dietz, 1996) , known as the gold standard determination of R. In this approach, the reproductive ratio is defined as
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