Author: Jiawen Hou; Jie Hong; Boyun Ji; Bowen Dong; Yue Chen; Michael P Ward; Wei Tu; Zhen Jin; Jian Hu; Qing Su; Wenge Wang; Zheng Zhao; Shuang Xiao; Jiaqi Huang; Wei Lin; Zhijie Zhang
Title: Changing transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in China: a nationwide population-based piecewise mathematical modelling study Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: kuf8p4e1_40
Snippet: The stage-specific and overall correlations between model predicted and observed cumulative case numbers were >0.9 for all the provinces with the exception of Wuhan in Stage 1 (Table 1 and in Supplementary Table 1) , which was 0.785. The less satisfactory correlation for the first stage in Wuhan city is likely caused by under-reporting during the early epidemic phase. Estimates of the key parameters in each epidemic stage are shown in Table 2 for.....
Document: The stage-specific and overall correlations between model predicted and observed cumulative case numbers were >0.9 for all the provinces with the exception of Wuhan in Stage 1 (Table 1 and in Supplementary Table 1) , which was 0.785. The less satisfactory correlation for the first stage in Wuhan city is likely caused by under-reporting during the early epidemic phase. Estimates of the key parameters in each epidemic stage are shown in Table 2 for
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