Author: Lorenzo Pellis; Francesca Scarabel; Helena B Stage; Christopher E Overton; Lauren H K Chappell; Katrina A Lythgoe; Elizabeth Fearon; Emma Bennett; Jacob Curran-Sebastian; Rajenki Das; Martyn Fyles; Hugo Lewkowicz; Xiaoxi Pang; Bindu Vekaria; Luke Webb; Thomas A House; Ian Hall
Title: Challenges in control of Covid-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions Document date: 2020_4_15
ID: k5q07y4b_51
Snippet: To fit the data we use maximum likelihood estimation. However, we do not observe the delay directly, instead observing the timing of the two events. Therefore, we need to construct a likelihood function for observing these events. Following [49 ] , we construct the conditional density function for observing the second event given the time of the first event and given that the second event occurs before date T . That is, we are interested in the c.....
Document: To fit the data we use maximum likelihood estimation. However, we do not observe the delay directly, instead observing the timing of the two events. Therefore, we need to construct a likelihood function for observing these events. Following [49 ] , we construct the conditional density function for observing the second event given the time of the first event and given that the second event occurs before date T . That is, we are interested in the conditional density function
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