Author: Roosa, K.; Lee, Y.; Luo, R.; Kirpich, A.; Rothenberg, R.; Hyman, J.M.; Yan, P.; Chowell, G.
Title: Real-time forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020 Document date: 2020_2_14
ID: 0zw3ukpx_7
Snippet: We obtained daily updates of the cumulative number of reported confirmed cases for the 2019-nCoV epidemic across provinces in China from the National Health Commission of China website (Chinese National Health Commission). The data contains 34 areas, including provinces, municipalities, autonomous regions, and special administrative regions; here we refer to the regions collectively as provinces. Data updates were collected daily at 12 p.m. , bet.....
Document: We obtained daily updates of the cumulative number of reported confirmed cases for the 2019-nCoV epidemic across provinces in China from the National Health Commission of China website (Chinese National Health Commission). The data contains 34 areas, including provinces, municipalities, autonomous regions, and special administrative regions; here we refer to the regions collectively as provinces. Data updates were collected daily at 12 p.m. , between January 22, 2020 and February 9, 2020. The short time-series is affected by irregularities and reporting lags, so the cumulative curves are more stable and likely yield more stable and reliable estimates. Therefore, we analyze the cumulative trajectory of the epidemic in Hubei province, the epicenter of the outbreak, as well as the cumulative aggregate trajectory of all other provinces.
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