Author: Luis Santamaria; Joaquin Hortal
Title: Chasing the ghost of infection past: identifying thresholds of change during the COVID-19 infection in Spain Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: 8niqpwvc_7
Snippet: Bearing this temporal sequence in mind, we analyze the growth curves of the cumulative numbers of cases detected and the cumulative number of deaths for both the whole of Spain and Madrid, focusing specifically in the changes in the growth rate (i.e. the slope of log-transformed data) of these curves through time. Based on this analysis, we seek to answer two questions: (1) how effective were the different social-distancing measures in reducing i.....
Document: Bearing this temporal sequence in mind, we analyze the growth curves of the cumulative numbers of cases detected and the cumulative number of deaths for both the whole of Spain and Madrid, focusing specifically in the changes in the growth rate (i.e. the slope of log-transformed data) of these curves through time. Based on this analysis, we seek to answer two questions: (1) how effective were the different social-distancing measures in reducing infection and mortality rates?; and (2) how significant were the effects of 7-8 March mass gatherings on the expansion of the epidemic, compared with other key events and control measures?
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