Selected article for: "incubation period and mean incubation period"
Author: Lorenzo Pellis; Francesca Scarabel; Helena B Stage; Christopher E Overton; Lauren H K Chappell; Katrina A Lythgoe; Elizabeth Fearon; Emma Bennett; Jacob Curran-Sebastian; Rajenki Das; Martyn Fyles; Hugo Lewkowicz; Xiaoxi Pang; Bindu Vekaria; Luke Webb; Thomas A House; Ian Hall
Title: Challenges in control of Covid-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions
  • Document date: 2020_4_15
    • ID: k5q07y4b_16
    Snippet: We report published estimates of the incubation period and the delay between symptom onset and hospitalisation (Table 1 ). Since none of these estimates simultaneously account for truncated observations and exponential growth in the number of infected cases, we also include our own estimates (see Materials and Methods) obtained by analysing UK line-list data provided by Public Health England (unfortunately not publicly available) and a publicly a.....
    Document: We report published estimates of the incubation period and the delay between symptom onset and hospitalisation (Table 1 ). Since none of these estimates simultaneously account for truncated observations and exponential growth in the number of infected cases, we also include our own estimates (see Materials and Methods) obtained by analysing UK line-list data provided by Public Health England (unfortunately not publicly available) and a publicly available line-list which collates worldwide data [33] . Although more robust, our estimates are consistent with the existing literature, and highlight geographical heterogeneity, such as shorter onset-to-hospitalisation intervals in Hong Kong and Singapore compared to the UK. With the exception of Singapore, the sum of the mean incubation period and mean onset-tohospitalisation interval is never shorter than 9 days, which corresponds to approximately 3 doubling times in an unconstrained epidemic like those observed in Figures 1 and 2 .

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