Author: Lorenzo Pellis; Francesca Scarabel; Helena B Stage; Christopher E Overton; Lauren H K Chappell; Katrina A Lythgoe; Elizabeth Fearon; Emma Bennett; Jacob Curran-Sebastian; Rajenki Das; Martyn Fyles; Hugo Lewkowicz; Xiaoxi Pang; Bindu Vekaria; Luke Webb; Thomas A House; Ian Hall
Title: Challenges in control of Covid-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions Document date: 2020_4_15
ID: k5q07y4b_54
Snippet: where f is the incubation period density function and g is the density of the infection date. We assume g is proportional to force of infection of the outbreak, which is assumed to follow exponential growth with rate parameter 0.25 day −1 . Using a gamma distribution to describe the incubation period, we get a mean incubation of 4.84 days with standard deviation 2.79. The data for the incubation period is also included as supplementary material.....
Document: where f is the incubation period density function and g is the density of the infection date. We assume g is proportional to force of infection of the outbreak, which is assumed to follow exponential growth with rate parameter 0.25 day −1 . Using a gamma distribution to describe the incubation period, we get a mean incubation of 4.84 days with standard deviation 2.79. The data for the incubation period is also included as supplementary material, along with MATLAB code to perform the maximum likelihood estimation.
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