Author: Meng Wang; Jingtao Qi
Title: A deterministic epidemic model for the emergence of COVID-19 in China Document date: 2020_3_10
ID: 6tnkz6hh_2
Snippet: Many epidemic models exist to describe spreads of infectious diseases mathematically [5] . The central role of modelling is to estimate the basic reproduction number, R 0 , defined as the expected average number of secondary cases infected by a typical primary case in a fully susceptible population, as well as the effective reproduction number, R t , defined as the actual average number of secondary cases per primary case during an epidemic. Diff.....
Document: Many epidemic models exist to describe spreads of infectious diseases mathematically [5] . The central role of modelling is to estimate the basic reproduction number, R 0 , defined as the expected average number of secondary cases infected by a typical primary case in a fully susceptible population, as well as the effective reproduction number, R t , defined as the actual average number of secondary cases per primary case during an epidemic. Different approaches [6, 7] have been taken for the purpose. A study on COVID-19 in Wuhan [8] is also reported. In rapid development of an infectious disease like COVID-19 in China and in the world, however, these approaches are very difficult in use, if not impossible, or lack of accuracy.
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