Author: Lorenzo Pellis; Francesca Scarabel; Helena B Stage; Christopher E Overton; Lauren H K Chappell; Katrina A Lythgoe; Elizabeth Fearon; Emma Bennett; Jacob Curran-Sebastian; Rajenki Das; Martyn Fyles; Hugo Lewkowicz; Xiaoxi Pang; Bindu Vekaria; Luke Webb; Thomas A House; Ian Hall
Title: Challenges in control of Covid-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions Document date: 2020_4_15
ID: k5q07y4b_57
Snippet: where τ represents the time since the infection of an individual and ω(τ ) is the infectious contact interval distribution, defined as the probability density function (pdf) of the times (since infection) at which an infectious contact is made. An infectious contact is a contact that results in an infection if the contactee is susceptible, and early on in the epidemic any randomly selected contactee is almost surely susceptible. Equation (S9) .....
Document: where τ represents the time since the infection of an individual and ω(τ ) is the infectious contact interval distribution, defined as the probability density function (pdf) of the times (since infection) at which an infectious contact is made. An infectious contact is a contact that results in an infection if the contactee is susceptible, and early on in the epidemic any randomly selected contactee is almost surely susceptible. Equation (S9) assumes all individuals have the same infectious contact interval distribution. However, if we assume random variability between individuals, there will be a set S of curves Ω(τ ). However, equation (S9) still applies, with ω(τ ) being the time-point average of all curves in S [50 ] ; see Figure S4 .
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