Selected article for: "epidemic situation and infected number"
Author: Jiawen Hou; Jie Hong; Boyun Ji; Bowen Dong; Yue Chen; Michael P Ward; Wei Tu; Zhen Jin; Jian Hu; Qing Su; Wenge Wang; Zheng Zhao; Shuang Xiao; Jiaqi Huang; Wei Lin; Zhijie Zhang
Title: Changing transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in China: a nationwide population-based piecewise mathematical modelling study
  • Document date: 2020_3_30
    • ID: kuf8p4e1_42
    Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.27.20045757 doi: medRxiv preprint significantly higher than that of the infectious individuals for both Wuhan and the rest of Hubei, suggesting that the exposed individuals had become the major source of infection after January 23, 2020. We mapped the spatial distribution of province-specific To address the concern of under-reporting in W.....
    Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.27.20045757 doi: medRxiv preprint significantly higher than that of the infectious individuals for both Wuhan and the rest of Hubei, suggesting that the exposed individuals had become the major source of infection after January 23, 2020. We mapped the spatial distribution of province-specific To address the concern of under-reporting in Wuhan in Stage 1, we proposed a source tracing strategy implemented through transportation in Stage 2. With the estimated initial exposed individuals on January 23, 2020, the model is able to attain the epidemic situation in Stage 3 (Supplementary Table 3 ). The estimated number of exposed individuals on January 10, 2020 in Wuhan is a function of the correction factor ݇ and the number of infected individuals on January 10, 2020,

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