Author: Gentile Francesco Ficetola; Diego Rubolini
Title: Climate affects global patterns of COVID-19 early outbreak dynamics Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: fcaeoyxd_20
Snippet: The dataset does not report information on containment measures, and these may be highly heterogeneous among countries/regions. We decided to calculate growth rate on the basis of the first five days, in order to obtain an estimate of the non-intervened spread of the disease (i.e. before stringent containment measures are undertaken). Five days provides a reasonable 20 trade-off between having to unreliable estimates of growth rates (if calculate.....
Document: The dataset does not report information on containment measures, and these may be highly heterogeneous among countries/regions. We decided to calculate growth rate on the basis of the first five days, in order to obtain an estimate of the non-intervened spread of the disease (i.e. before stringent containment measures are undertaken). Five days provides a reasonable 20 trade-off between having to unreliable estimates of growth rates (if calculated on the basis of a smaller number of days, e.g. 3) , and obtaining growth rates influenced by the enforcement of heavy containment measures (such as immediate isolation of confirmed cases). Five days is the . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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