Author: Roosa, K.; Lee, Y.; Luo, R.; Kirpich, A.; Rothenberg, R.; Hyman, J.M.; Yan, P.; Chowell, G.
Title: Real-time forecasts of the COVID-19 epidemic in China from February 5th to February 24th, 2020 Document date: 2020_2_14
ID: 0zw3ukpx_18
Snippet: For the trajectory that aggregates all other provinces (excluding Hubei), the parameter estimates follow trends that differ from those for Hubei (Supplemental Table 2 ). While the three models estimated stable and nearly equivalent growth rates in Hubei, the estimated growth rates for other provinces vary across models and do not follow a distinct trend as more data become available. However, the scaling and size parameters remain relatively stab.....
Document: For the trajectory that aggregates all other provinces (excluding Hubei), the parameter estimates follow trends that differ from those for Hubei (Supplemental Table 2 ). While the three models estimated stable and nearly equivalent growth rates in Hubei, the estimated growth rates for other provinces vary across models and do not follow a distinct trend as more data become available. However, the scaling and size parameters remain relatively stable across all dates. Further, the p estimates from the GLM reveal a consistent sub-exponential growth pattern in other provinces (p ¼ 0.67 (95% CI: 0.64, 0.70) e February 9th).
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- growth pattern and size scaling: 1
- growth rate and Hubei growth rate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8
- growth rate and model vary: 1
- growth rate and parameter estimate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- growth rate and parameter size scaling: 1
- growth rate and province growth rate: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
- growth rate and size scaling: 1, 2
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date