Author: Chowell, Gerardo
Title: Fitting dynamic models to epidemic outbreaks with quantified uncertainty: A primer for parameter uncertainty, identifiability, and forecasts Document date: 2017_8_12
ID: 3aa8wgr0_63
Snippet: Assuming a Poisson error structure, Fig. 8 displays 1 ) the uncertainty of parameters "r" and "p" associated with the fit of the GGM model to the early phase of the Ebola epidemic in Sierra Leone and 2) the uncertainty in our parameter estimates translates into the 95% confidence bounds around the best fit of the model to the data......
Document: Assuming a Poisson error structure, Fig. 8 displays 1 ) the uncertainty of parameters "r" and "p" associated with the fit of the GGM model to the early phase of the Ebola epidemic in Sierra Leone and 2) the uncertainty in our parameter estimates translates into the 95% confidence bounds around the best fit of the model to the data.
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