Author: Lee, Hyunsun
Title: Stochastic and spatio-temporal analysis of the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome outbreak in South Korea, 2015 Document date: 2019_6_14
ID: 6cyhjt10_36
Snippet: Finally, we observe that a few super-spreaders greatly contributed to the MERS epidemic in South Korea, infecting 83% of all active cases, and elevated the reproductive ratio. To reduce the number of super-spreaders and consequently the reproductive ratio, more thorough quarantine can be ordered. However, Lipsitch et al. (Lipsitch et al., 2003) also argued the tradeoff between reducing the reproductive ratio and stressing the population with exce.....
Document: Finally, we observe that a few super-spreaders greatly contributed to the MERS epidemic in South Korea, infecting 83% of all active cases, and elevated the reproductive ratio. To reduce the number of super-spreaders and consequently the reproductive ratio, more thorough quarantine can be ordered. However, Lipsitch et al. (Lipsitch et al., 2003) also argued the tradeoff between reducing the reproductive ratio and stressing the population with excessive quarantine, suggesting that the reproductive ratio may not always be the best measure. As a future endeavor, modeling super-spreading events with nondiffusive terms in mathematical equations will be investigated and a better quarantine plan will be suggested.
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