Author: Hellewell, Joel; Abbott, Sam; Gimma, Amy; Bosse, Nikos I; Jarvis, Christopher I; Russell, Timothy W; Munday, James D; Kucharski, Adam J; Edmunds, W John; Funk, Sebastian; Eggo, Rosalind M
Title: Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts Document date: 2020_2_28
ID: ueb7mjnv_16
Snippet: We explored two scenarios of delay (short and long) between symptom onset and isolation (figure 2). The short delay was estimated during the late stages of the 2003 SARS outbreak in Singapore, 18 and the long delay was an empirical distribution calculated from the early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan. 23 We varied the percentage of contacts traced from 0% to 100%, at 20% intervals, to quantify the effectiveness of contact tracing......
Document: We explored two scenarios of delay (short and long) between symptom onset and isolation (figure 2). The short delay was estimated during the late stages of the 2003 SARS outbreak in Singapore, 18 and the long delay was an empirical distribution calculated from the early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan. 23 We varied the percentage of contacts traced from 0% to 100%, at 20% intervals, to quantify the effectiveness of contact tracing.
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